There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.
Home prices at the national level have remained well above their pre-pandemic levels even as sales volume collapsed. The reason is supply. The locked-in effect has kept available inventory at historically low levels in most markets, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.
Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.
Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. Moving your score up by 40 points before you apply can be worth more than months of rate watching. If your score has room to improve, give yourself three to six months to work on it before you begin in earnest.
If the report surfaces findings that change the financial picture of the deal, you have three options, not one, and walking away is a legitimate one of them. You can ask the seller to repair specific items before closing. What you should not do is panic and waive your right to negotiate.
Budget between two and five percent depending on your loan type and the state you are buying in. First-time buyers routinely underestimate this number. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate with a realistic purchase price so the numbers reflect what you are actually going to face.
Real estate is illiquid. If there is a reasonable chance you will need to move in two years, renting is the financially rational choice. None of that means do not buy. It means be honest about your time horizon before you commit.
Buyers who take the time to do their homework tend to find that the market is more navigable than the headlines suggest. Current property listings and market tools at real estate listings and data are worth bookmarking before you make any major moves.
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